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Thursday, January 05, 2006

Higher speed in your living room

. . . as we increase the speed, the real impact of the speed on what we do with it is marginal. Can your eyes tell the difference between a web-page loading in one second or 0.27 seconds. I guess not. . . . Sure at 30 Mbps you can download DVD quality The Bourne Identity in 11 minutes, but its still going to take you 2 hours to watch it.
Just so, increasing the commonly available symmetric crosscut bandwidth won't make web browsing more popular---just like commonly
available T1s didn't make UUCP more popular and Fast Ethernet didn't make Gopher any more popular.

It certainly won't make web browsing more popular, but it will make web downloading MUCH FASTER.
And THAT will have an impact on the world and economy of TODAY that most do not see (or do not want to see).

The biggest market on the Internet since Napster has been the P2P market, the most succesful companies have been the ones able to get a first seat on that business.
Even the most succesful VoIP has been the one which claimed to be a P2P (even if mostly on the name).
The spreading of Broadband has mostly been for P2P.
And that has made the fortune of the "connectivity business".

That AND the cheaper and growing storage availability will make the future of the Video on the NET.
Which won't be streamed, but downloaded and looked at on the more convenient way and time.
On TV may be, or on a big screen, or on the wall with the use of a projector...
Movie theatre in your OWN living room, comfortably sat on your couch, when and how you like it...
This looks to me a most probable picture of our future.

Speed doesn't count for the human eye, but is essential for computers communication and since the Future WILL BE COMPUTER COMMUNICATION, high speed, higher speed, WELCOME in our living room.
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