In spite of my so called "pessimism", which I define as pure "realism", I cannot agree to the realistic overview of Professor Igor Panarin, since it misses a few crucial points and looks at the actual situation in a unilateral way (of course, he IS a Russian).
Since we usually see things as we like them, it is consequential for him predicting that: "Asked why he expected the U.S. to break up into separate parts, he said: "A whole range of reasons. Firstly, the financial problems in the U.S. will get worse. Millions of citizens there have lost their savings. Prices and unemployment are on the rise. General Motors and Ford are on the verge of collapse, and this means that whole cities will be left without work. Governors are already insistently demanding money from the federal centre. Dissatisfaction is growing, and at the moment it is only being held back by the elections and the hope that Obama can work miracles. But by spring, it will be clear that there are no miracles."
Nobody believes in miracles, but nobody should forget that whatever the situation can be, America has still very strong reasons to be able to overcome this crisis.
First: in a Land not so much smaller than China live a little more than 250 million people.
China has 1 milliard, 2 hundred million people.
That means that when it comes to food the part of food producing land is much more for an American than for a Chinese.
Regarding infrastructures and technology, I think that, in spite of a huge progress, China is still far away.
Regarding lifestyle, when it comes to lower it, America has much more space than the average Chinese or Russian.
In Russia the State has great possibilities, but most of the population is almost at starving point, not enough houses, schools, infrastructures.
Russia has energy supply and China has a great number of workers.
Besides he forgets that if America won't produce, it won't consume energy and won't import goods from China.
How can you be a World power if you do not have power?
The Miracle America can do is: Becoming energy independent (or almost), changing a lifestyle from a comfortable one in which it mainly consumes to one in which it again produces.
And America will, for the simple reason that it MUST do it for surviving...
Thursday, November 27, 2008
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